UTopiAH is a series about life expectancy – how long we live – from 1960 to 2016. Medical conditions rank states. UTopiAH’s #1 health rankings are recorded. Statistical probability indicates a politicizing of these life expectancy tables since 2012.

Part Ten. How does Heart Disease impact UTopiAH #1 state rankings of life expectancy? As noted in Part One, the United Health Foundation America’s Health ranked Utah #1 as the having the fewest or lowest rate for 2012 Diabetes, and 2^nd lowest chronic alcohol use for 2016, both substantial causes for heart disease.

For three decades, 1960-1990, life expectancy, was based on the census taken every ten years. States were rank ordered based on the longevity of their residents’ lives. Longevity have been the basis for commercial uses, health programs, governmental budgets, and forward planning. Commercial uses include 1) annuity tables for retirement investments, how long the annuity will be needed to provide a life time income, and hence its cost; 2) life insurance tables for payment of death benefits and when they will be due, and hence the premium; 3)   long term care, and others. Health programs use include age related maladies    and hospitalization. 4) Governmental budgets include Medicare, Medicaid, Obamacare, development, public health, education, transportation, and national security. 5) Forward planning includes water resources, urban planning, social services, and family growth,.   Progress or decline in life expectancy, takes decades.   For instance noting that Utah’s life expectancy ranked 6^th in 1960, Utah climbed to 2^nd in 1970, back to 3^rd in 1980, and topped out to 1^st by 1990. It is even harder to move among ranks the larger the population in the State. California’s population is ten times Utah’s. California’s life expectancy ranked 19^th in 1960 census, climbed to 14^th in 1970, 18^th in 1980, and dropped back to 32^nd in 1990.

How can it be that UTopiAH’s lowest diabetes ranking in 2012, and very low chronic alcohol use, results in the 14^th and 15^th heart disease death rate in 2016?

Heart Disease Mortality by State 2016 & 2005

An anomaly is apparent in the tables. Tables A and B are listed as given by the CDC (Center for Disease Control). Table A should be a calculation of the number of heart disease deaths in each state in 2016, which is obtained by taking the number in column B as actual deaths, and dividing B by the state’s population in 100,000 sets, to give table A, as rates per hundred thousand.   According to the CDC table Minnesota in 2016 had 7,825 deaths for a rate per hundred thousand of 114.9, and Minnesota in 2005 had 7,926 deaths for a rate of 145.4 each number of deaths per 100,000. Calculating back the population in 2005 had Minnesota population 5,452,269 per table) [ but compare it to the U.S. census report of 5.12 million], and   in 2016 the calculated population for Minnesota from the CDC tables is 6,810,269 [The U.S. Census lists a population of 5.25 million for 2016].   A sampling of other states, compared with their 2016 population gives fresh and new rates per 100,000 population, as given in Table D. None of the Table D calculations matched the Table A rates in the samples. The closest being Colorado, wherein its US Census calculation gives a rate within 2 percent of the table column A.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/pressroom/sosmap/heart_disease_mortality/heart_disease.htm

Heart Disease Mortality by State: 2016

Age-Adjusted Death Rates¹

United States 165.5

114.9 – 141

143.1 – 153.4, 154.4 – 164.3

164.7 – 191, 192.1 – 233.1

Data Table Pressroom provided figures for Columns A and B

                        U.S. Census provided figures for Column C

                        [Part 10 made calculation for Column D]

¹The number of deaths per 100,000 total population

Source: https://wonder.cdc.gov

 Heart Disease Mortality by State: 2005

Age-Adjusted Death Rates¹

United States 216.8

145.4 – 180.5

180.5 – 189.8, 190.6 – 220.4

220.7 – 241.3, 246.7 – 306.4

Data Table

The number of deaths per 100,000 total population.

Source: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr56/nvsr56_10.pdf

Disclaimer: The author of each article published on this web site owns his or her own words. The opinions, beliefs and viewpoints expressed by the various authors and forum participants on this site do not necessarily reflect the opinions, beliefs and viewpoints of Utah Standard News or official policies of the USN and may actually reflect positions that USN actively opposes. No claim in public domain or fair use. UTopiAH is a trade mark of the author. Utopia was written in 1516 by Sir Thomas More, Chancellor of England. © Edmunds Tucker.